- December 12, 2025
Thursday assorted links
1. Wage effects of El Salvadoran gangs. 2. Did industrial policy drive East Asian growth? 3. U.S. mass killings drop to a twenty-year low. 4.
Sunday assorted links
1. The fight over Romansh (New Yorker). 2. How well can LLMs grade? 3. Kelsey Piper responds on Mississippi. She is probably correct. 4. Future
Welcome to the Crazy CAFE
To let Americans buy smaller cars, Trump had to weaken fuel-efficiency standards. Does that sound crazy? Small cars, of course, have much higher fuel efficiency.
Consensus vs. ARIMA(1,1,1): ADP Private Nonfarm Payroll
Bloomberg consensus is +7K for ADP release. Figure 1: ADP private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), ARIMA(1,1,1) forecast (red), +/- 1 std
What we’re grateful for – Marginal REVOLUTION
Here is the Free Press symposium, here is my contribution: Tyler Cowen, columnist I am grateful for how many parts of the world I can
Side-Walking Problems
Local Law 11 requires owners of New York City’s 16,000-plus buildings over six stories to get a “close-up, hands-on” facade inspection every five years. Repair
Nano Banana Pro does Marginal Revolution
Via Rohit Krishnan. The post Nano Banana Pro does Marginal Revolution appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
Confidently Wrong
If you’re going to challenge a scientific consensus, you better know the material. Most of us, most of the time, don’t—so deferring to expert consensus
I talk with Michael Klein
Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University. I use this blog to keep in
UCSD Faculty Sound Alarm on Declining Student Skills
The UC San Diego Senate Report on Admissions documents a sharp decline in students’ math and reading skills—a warning that has been sounded before, but
