- March 18, 2026
Deployment of ARG Tripoli, Betting on Hormuz Re-Opening
As of yesterday, open sources indicate: Source: USNI, accessed 3/17/2026. The composition and capabilities of the ARG are described here. That being said, the prediction
I talk with Larry Kotlikoff
Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University. I use this blog to keep in
Monday assorted links
1. What people get wrong about women’s rights (Alice Evans, The Economist). 2. The case against liberal interventionism. 3. More government by GPT (NYT). 4.
Seems Plausible: Recession in 2026
Polymarket, using definition of 2 quarters of consecutive negative GDP growth OR NBER declaration. It was only 23% on February 27th, before the first strikes.
Democracy continues
Here is a link. The post Democracy continues appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
Interpreting 2/27 in Basic IS-LM w/Exogenous Price Shock
From notes for PA854 (before AD-AS chapter), to be discussed tomorrow: Assume the price level is sticky in the short run with respect to aggregate
Core PCE Instantaneous Inflation at 3.6% in January, Same in February?
Using the Cleveland Fed nowcast for February, y/y inflation will be 3%, instantaneous at 3.2%, 3.6% instantaneous using Goldman Sachs estimate based on today’s PPI
Greg Mankiw’s Blog: Economic Theory Summer Camp
About Me Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University. I use this blog to
Gaurav Ahuja interviews me – Marginal REVOLUTION
I very much enjoyed this exchange, print only, here is the link. Excerpt: I was recently thinking about how much the bad weather in the
My excellent Conversation with Joe Studwell
COWEN: Does Africa have a manufacturing future? Is robotics coming, AI, possibly some reshoring? STUDWELL: Yes. I believe that Africa does have a manufacturing future. COWEN: But making what?
