- November 21, 2025
Confidently Wrong
If you’re going to challenge a scientific consensus, you better know the material. Most of us, most of the time, don’t—so deferring to expert consensus
I talk with Michael Klein
Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University. I use this blog to keep in
UCSD Faculty Sound Alarm on Declining Student Skills
The UC San Diego Senate Report on Admissions documents a sharp decline in students’ math and reading skills—a warning that has been sounded before, but
One-Third of US Families Earn Over $150,000
It’s astonishing that the richest country in world history could convince itself that it was plundered by immigrants and trade. Truly astonishing. From Jeremy Horpedahl
Affordability sentences to ponder
The post Affordability sentences to ponder appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
ADP Private NFP and Implied BLS NFP [updated]
ADP released +42K private NFP surprises upside (+32K Bloomberg consensus). Figure 1: ADP private NFP, October release (blue), Bloomberg consensus of 10/3
Sentences to ponder
We find that interventions (e.g., busing) that move children to a more favorable neighborhood have large effects but lose impact when they are scaled up
ACA Premiums without Extension of Expanded Tax Credit
Data from Pew, for average marketplace benchmark plans, per month: Figure 1: Average benchmark ACA premium (Silver plan, 40yr old), $/mo (blue).
What Economists Are Against the IEEPA Tariffs? What Economists Are in Favor?
Amicus Brief, and NTU Open Letter: Signatories: Stan Veuger is Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and Visiting Lecturer of Economics at Harvard University.
Prediction Markets Are Very Accurate
alexmccullough at Dune has a very good post on the accuracy of Polymarket prediction markets. First, how do we measure accuracy? Suppose a prediction market
